The Picks sure to beat Aaron Boone

The past 4 seasons I have posted my preseason picks on my FACEBOOK page.  I have done very well despite missing every World Series winner, but that puts me right in line with the 44 “EXPERTS” on ESPN.  To prove how good I am.  I decided to put my predictions in photos.  Of course these photos use my hat collection and my nifty little smart phone so here goes.

Your 2014 MOST ACCURATE MLB PRESEASON PICKS

I’m a homer, simply put, so let’s start in the NL EAST where of course I pick Atlanta.  It’s the easiest division in baseball.  I also pick the Nats to go to the Wild Card, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they lost 90 games.  Speaking of losing 90 games the Phillies need to start selling fast, and Sandy up in NY -your fan base is tired of losing; sure the team has improved offensively, but the starting pitching outside of Zack Wheeler is a mess.

NL East

Next up the lovely NL Central.  This will spur some debate and/or some anger.  Yes, I like the Pirates. I think they are building a consistent winner, and I feel that Gerrit Cole is about to make, that Matt Harvey leap– (without the TJ I hope).  The Reds will score runs, but also give up plenty.  I think, I’m the only human that isn’t sold on Homer Bailey.  I’m also not sold on Cueto’s health.  The Reds won’t be bad, but Ryan Braun will be looking to shut up his critics.  I’m not one of them, but I am critical of Rickie Weeks.  If Weeks can hit .230 the Brewers might make a wild card push.   The Cards are the class of the division, I  think of  them as baseball’s Tim Tebow.  They will win games–just not enough to win the division.  Poor Chicago–Theology hasn’t worked as planned, but your teams in Iowa, Tennessee, and Daytona are awesome.

NL central

The Lovely NL WEST -oh how easy it should be to pick this division except I loathe Los Angeles.  Ryu will be better than Grienke.  Haren might be better than Grienke this year too.  Kemp will rebound to Kemp status and the rest of the team will be introduced to “STAT GRAVITY.”  On the other hand Tim Hudson will not win more than 12 games, but the advice he will give Cain and Bumgarner will make the Giants the most dangerous rotation (I didn’t say best I said dangerous)  in baseball.  The rest of the division is in the rear view even though my last blog thinks we found a sleeper in Denver

NL West

The AL East will be a 5 team dog fight.  It really is New York’s to lose. And they will.  Boston was strong last year; they even had the luck of the Irish, but they aren’t that good.  Too many holes up the middle, the left, the right, and the rotation.  Boston fans will be upset, until December, when they over pay for Max Scherzer.

AL East

The AL Central has been the Tigers division.  It should continue to be, except Kansas City had a really good off-season.  Omar Infante plugs the gaping hole at 2nd, and the addition of Aoki, will have the Royals dancing into October.  Honestly the 1 and 2 can flip either/or, the three, four and five will all fight for .500.  I think Terry Francona is the second best manager in baseball, but the Indians are a year older and banking on Corey Kluber and Danny Salazar instead of Kazmir and Ubaldo this is Jordan Belfort level risk, and nope I am not buying em.  There is hope in Chicago and Minnesota though, one is 27 the other is 19.AL Central

The competitiveness of the AL WEST ends this year.  Oakland will dominate.  Seattle will improve thanks to Cano, and the young pitching.  The Angels are hoping they can sign Tony Danza to plug into the atrocious back three of their rotation.  Texas wishes they could have Tony Danza, Sam Malone, and the kid from Rookie-of-the-Year. Houston just wishes they could have all the kids from The Sandlot.

AL West

Well I really hope this year my World Series happens.

I am taking my favorite GM Billy Bean to finally get to the big game, play a 7 game duel with the Atlanta Braves and finally put on the ring.  (Hollywood sequel to Moneyball)

 

But we all know this is what will happen instead.

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2014 PREDICTIONS: BOLD and QUOTED

Baseball season is technically now upon us, THANKS BUD! This means I can finally put my baseball knowledge to use.  This year I have decided to actually chronicle my bold predictions (the ones that I feel will happen) and my quoted predictions (the ones I guarantee will happen).

 

BOLD PREDICITONS

The Dodgers will implode by July.      mlb_g_dodgers11_1920x1280

I know all the rich successful MLB pundits are calling the Dodgers the class of the National League West; that’s the best in the West then get the vultures ready.  The Dodgers do have a lot of talent, if you are building your team in 2009.  Let’s be honest, Either, Crawford, and AGon have seen their best days and the sun is setting on Grienke, Billingsley, and 99% of those “closers in wait.”  The ultimate test will be Mr Puig.  If you think the media loved this guy when he hit .400, just wait till he doesn’t hit .300- the media will be all over him like locusts in the Old Testament.

 

Yankees and Red Sox will not win the AL EAST

Jeter-Throw-Across

The Rays are the best team in this division.  Toronto and Baltimore aren’t bad either.  Yanks spend money on guys who are old.  The Red Sox have zero identity.  Sure Bogarts is a great potential young homegrown shortstop, but they already had one of those and well he works for Four-Letter network now. If you really only looked at the stats from the Yankees and Red Sox last year by position there is no way you would say that these two teams are potential champs. Simply put, Jeterstalgia will propel the Bronx Bums to at least have that one game wild card.

 

 

Josh Hamilton and Prince Fielder will both hit 25 home runs or less.

The numbers suggest Hamilton wasn’t that bad last year.  The numbers for Prince suggest a slight decline is imminent.  Either way both guys are on the wrong side of the peak years and their power outage will not be pretty.

 

The Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates will win their divisions.

The snow in hell is getting outrageous.  Bud is calling Satan right now, and selling his soul to ensure that Gerrit Cole and Yordano blow out their UCLs. He’s also praying to the Lord of Darkness that Pedro Alvarez and Eric Hosmer stay as inconsistent as possible.  Oh well too late these 2 teams are going to damage the game of baseball.  Well only to the 4 letter network.

 

“QUOTED PREDICTIONS”

“Bryce Harper will not hit .300 or 30 Homeruns.”

Bryce is good.  He’s also 21 with some injury concerns.  Baseball fans love to parrot that Kurkjian guy.  Kurkjian is an idiot and so, too, is anyone who thinks Bryce is going to hit the triple-crown any time soon.  Keep dreaming kids. images

“The Colorado Rockies will barely miss the playoffs.”

Dan O’Dowd went from being in the Ruben Amarao class to being a visionary.  Ok not really, but Eddie Butler and Jonathan Gray are legit rookie-of-the-year candidates this season.  It’s a stretch, but this team’s offense is going to put up huge numbers and the Rockies actually have a solid young rotation that will keep the ball out of the cheap seats.  If, Tulo can stay healthy all year, this team could be a division champion.  Perhaps that idea is a little crazy, so just watch them scare everyone until late September.

 

 

“Kevin Towers and Ruben Amarao will do something stupid.”

It’s a no brainer; these two guys are the worst general managers in all of sports.  Jerry Jones would have to give Tony Romo a 20-year deal to have this level of incompetence and lack of foresight.  Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels should be traded in July; instead, Rubex will probably buy a pitcher to chase the Braves.  Towers, on the other hand, will trade promising young arms for more fringe outfielders and relievers.  This is their M.O. and a tiger can never  change it’s stripes.

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“ESPN Pundits will miss the WORLD SERIES WINNER AGAIN.”

Last year, no one working for ESPN picked the Red Sox to win.  This year, most of them are picking the Yanks, Dodgers, Nats, Tigers, and Red Sox.  Quite simply none of those 4 teams will be playing in the World Series.  I wish I could get paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to always be dead wrong.